Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.003931 0.004135 0.004345 0.004577 0.004825 0.005085 0.005376
2025-06-29 0.003575 0.003878 0.004203 0.004577 0.004998 0.005460 0.006006
2025-07-06 0.003257 0.003602 0.003982 0.004432 0.004955 0.005548 0.006274
2025-07-13 0.003097 0.003480 0.003912 0.004436 0.005062 0.005790 0.006713
2025-07-20 0.003003 0.003423 0.003905 0.004503 0.005234 0.006109 0.007250
2025-07-27 0.002866 0.003304 0.003814 0.004460 0.005265 0.006250 0.007568
2025-08-03 0.002752 0.003205 0.003741 0.004430 0.005304 0.006396 0.007893
2025-08-10 0.002648 0.003113 0.003669 0.004395 0.005332 0.006524 0.008195
2025-08-17 0.002606 0.003093 0.003684 0.004467 0.005497 0.006834 0.008755
2025-08-24 0.002528 0.003024 0.003633 0.004451 0.005543 0.006985 0.009101
2025-08-31 0.002450 0.002952 0.003575 0.004420 0.005566 0.007104 0.009405
2025-09-07 0.002366 0.002869 0.003498 0.004363 0.005547 0.007163 0.009622
2025-09-14 0.002285 0.002788 0.003423 0.004304 0.005527 0.007219 0.009842
2025-09-21 0.002234 0.002744 0.003395 0.004307 0.005591 0.007396 0.010252
2025-09-28 0.002133 0.002631 0.003270 0.004174 0.005457 0.007280 0.010204
2025-10-05 0.002090 0.002594 0.003246 0.004177 0.005517 0.007449 0.010608
2025-10-12 0.002072 0.002588 0.003264 0.004239 0.005662 0.007750 0.011239
2025-10-19 0.002017 0.002533 0.003211 0.004199 0.005656 0.007822 0.011500
2025-10-26 0.001970 0.002485 0.003168 0.004171 0.005665 0.007915 0.011802
2025-11-02 0.001924 0.002438 0.003124 0.004139 0.005667 0.007995 0.012083
2025-11-09 0.001913 0.002439 0.003147 0.004206 0.005820 0.008322 0.012812
2025-11-16 0.001876 0.002402 0.003116 0.004191 0.005847 0.008445 0.013188
2025-11-23 0.001837 0.002361 0.003076 0.004163 0.005851 0.008532 0.013502